Hawkish Fed lifts dollar to seven-week high; markets brace for BOE, BOJ

Market News · reuters.com · September 17, 2026

Hawkish Fed lifts dollar to seven-week high; markets brace for BOE, BOJ

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› Shares edge up after Fed hike, dollar firm on short-term yields

Finance Shares edge up after Fed hike, dollar firm on short-term yields

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Asian shares edged slightly higher as the Federal Reserve delivered its first rate hike since mid‑2023, boosting the U.S. dollar to a seven‑week high amid rising short‑term Treasury yields. Oil prices dipped on eased Middle East supply concerns as Saudi Arabia offered crude via Oman.

Market Reactions to Fed Rate Hike and Dollar Strength

Market Expectations for Future Rate Hikes

Treasury Yields and U.S. Dollar Performance

Shares Rise in Asia Following Fed Rate Hike as Dollar Strengthens on Yields

Market Reactions to Fed Rate Hike and Dollar Strength

SYDNEY, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Shares edged up in Asia on Thursday as investors bet the Federal Reserve is finally getting the jump on inflation, delivering its first rate hike in more than three years and calming a global bond selloff that had sent long-term yields soaring.

The U.S. dollar hit a seven-week high against its major peers, underpinned by a jump in short-term Treasury yields as markets ramped up wagers that the Fed may have to lift rates again, with a move by December fully priced in. That proved a headwind for commodities, with oil prices giving back ground.

The focus now shifts to the Bank of England, which is widely expected to leave interest rates steady later in the day, but all eyes will be on any hint about if high energy prices could force it to hike in November. The Bank of Japan, by contrast, is all but certain to lift interest rates on Friday.

European shares are set for a higher open, with pan-region stock futures up 0.5%. Nasdaq futures gained 0.7% and S&P 500 futures bounced 0.6%, after small declines on Wall Street. [.N]

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.3% while Japan's Nikkei also gained 0.3%. Chinese blue-chips slipped 0.2% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.7%.

As widely expected, the Fed raised interest rates by a quarter point overnight, but the unanimous decision tilted to the hawkish side. The dot plot projected one more rate hike this year but stopped short of signalling any moves next year.

Tai Hui, APAC chief market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, said investors would need to reassess the valuations for assets especially tech stocks if the Fed remained hawkish going into 2027.

"We think the chance of U.S. policy rates returning to above 5% is still limited. Nonetheless, a catalyst to extend the equity bull market is looking unlikely in the foreseeable future," he added.

Market Expectations for Future Rate Hikes

Futures imply there is a 53% chance that the Fed could follow up with a second hike as soon as next month to rein in inflation. A total of three rate rises have been priced in for this tightening cycle.

Treasury Yields and U.S. Dollar Performance

The Treasury yield curve bear flattened, with short-term maturities taking a hit but long bonds heaving a sigh of relief. Two-year Treasury yields slipped 1 basis point to 4.7174%, after spiking 6 basis points overnight to the highest since July 2024.

That helped boost the U.S. dollar to a seven-week high of 100.36 against its major peers, having surged 0.7% overnight, the biggest daily gain in three months.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was back at 5%, having dipped to as low as 4.9385% overnight, while 30-year bond yields were flat at 5.3522%, off from a 19-year high of 5.401%.

"Chair Warsh will be pleased that the breakout of the 10-year yield shows a moderate fall in inflation expectations, which telegraphs a nod of approval from the market to the hike as an inflation containment one," said Padhraic Garvey, regional head of research, Americas, at ING.

"It was still an eloquent performance. But it won't rescue the back end of the curve. We identify 5.25% as a next target for the U.S. 10-year yield."

Commodity markets took a hit on the stronger dollar. Brent crude futures slipped 0.2% to $105.67 a barrel after falling 2.7% overnight as Saudi Arabia was reportedly offering crude cargoes through Oman, easing some concerns about Middle East supply disruption.[O/R]

Gold, however, showed some resilience, rising 0.7% to $4,293 an ounce, offsetting a similar fall overnight. [GOL/]

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Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points—the first hike in over three years—and projected another hike before year‑end, firming short‑term yields and reinforcing dollar strength ( au.marketscreener.com )

Asia‑Pacific equities gained modestly, with the MSCI APAC index up ~0.4%, as investors interpreted the Fed move as timely inflation control and bond sell‑off cooling ( au.marketscreener.com )

Brent crude slipped (~2–3%) after Saudi Arabia offered additional crude shipments via Oman, easing market supply tension; U.S. crude inventories also weighed on prices ( live.euronext.com )

Shares tick higher as Fed hikes rates, dollar jumps with short-term yields | MarketScreener Australia

Oil slips as Saudi Arabia offers more crude via Oman | live

Why did the Federal Reserve raise interest rates? The Federal Reserve raised interest rates to get ahead of inflation and respond to rising price pressures in the economy.

How did markets react to the Fed's rate hike? Asian shares edged up, US dollar hit a seven-week high, and short-term Treasury yields increased following the rate hike.

What is the outlook for further interest rate hikes? Markets are pricing in a possible additional Fed rate hike by December, with futures implying a 53% chance of another increase as soon as next month.

How did commodity prices respond to the stronger dollar? Brent crude oil prices slipped and gold showed resilience after the US dollar strengthened on higher short-term yields.

What central bank meetings are markets watching next? Markets are focusing on upcoming Bank of England and Bank of Japan meetings for possible policy shifts.

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